Theory, Hypotheses, and Reflexive Thought
What theory is
A coherent set of general propositions used to explain apparent relationships among observed phenomena.
What makes a good theory
| Quality | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Validity | It fits the facts |
| Generalisation | Predicts future or other events |
| Replication | Repeats with similar findings |
A good hypothesis is
- Precise
- Specifies variables to measure
- Specifies relationships between variables
Double movement of reflexive thought
| Movement | Direction |
|---|---|
| Induction | Observe a fact, ask why, develop tentative hypothesis |
| Deduction | Test the hypothesis against further evidence |
The reflective practitioner moves between the two continuously.
Personal theory building is not a vague activity. It has a definition of theory, a set of qualities that distinguish a good theory from a weak one, a precise idea of what makes a hypothesis useful, and a way of moving between observation and explanation called the double movement of reflexive thought. The article works through each of these.
What theory is
A working definition of theory is useful at this point. A theory is a coherent set of general propositions used as principles of explanation of the apparent relationships of certain observed phenomena.
Each part of the definition matters.
Coherent: the propositions hang together. A theory whose propositions contradict each other is broken.
Set of general propositions: more than one statement, and statements that are general rather than specific. “My class learned more on Tuesday” is a specific observation. “Active learning produces deeper understanding than passive reception” is a general proposition.
Principles of explanation: the propositions explain something. A theory that does not explain has no work to do.
Apparent relationships among observed phenomena: the theory connects things that have been observed. It is not pure speculation; it is anchored to phenomena.
A teacher’s personal theory of, say, classroom questioning meets this definition when it has multiple coherent general propositions about what kinds of questions produce what kinds of student responses, and the propositions explain patterns the teacher has observed.
What makes a good theory
Several qualities distinguish a good theory from a weak one.
Validity
Validity is the most basic quality: the theory fits the facts. If the theory says one thing and the evidence says another, the theory is not valid.
A teacher whose personal theory of questioning is contradicted by what they actually see in their classroom has a problem. They can update the theory, or ignore the evidence and keep an invalid theory. Reflective practitioners update.
Generalisation
Generalisation is the theory’s reach. A theory that only applies to one specific lesson with one specific class on one specific day has limited generalisation. A theory that holds across many lessons, classes, and days has more reach.
Theories with more generalisation make more predictions about future or other events. They are also more useful. A teacher who has a personal theory of questioning that holds across most of their classes can use it to plan future lessons. A teacher whose theory only holds for one lesson cannot.
Replication
Replication is the theory’s reliability across uses. A theory should produce similar findings when applied to similar situations. If applying the same theory to the same kind of class produces wildly different results each time, the theory is not yet reliable.
For a teacher’s personal theory, this means that the predictions the theory makes should hold up over time. A theory that worked once but never again is suspicious; the success was probably from something else.
Hypotheses
Theories generate hypotheses, and good hypotheses have specific qualities.
A good hypothesis is precise. “Active learning is good” is not a hypothesis; it is a slogan. “Asking three open questions in the first ten minutes of a lesson increases hand-raising in the next twenty minutes” is a hypothesis.
A good hypothesis specifies the variables to measure. The hypothesis above specifies the kind of question, the time window, and the kind of student response. Each of these can be measured.
A good hypothesis specifies relationships between variables. The hypothesis says one variable (open questions in the first ten minutes) is related to another (hand-raising in the next twenty). The relationship is specific, not vague.
A reflective practitioner who can write good hypotheses about their own teaching can test them in their classroom. The testing is a small-scale version of research and produces real growth in personal theory.
Validity, generalisation, replication
Validity means the theory fits the facts. Generalisation means it predicts future or other events beyond the specific case it was built on. Replication means it produces similar findings when applied to similar situations.
The double movement of reflexive thought
Personal theory building uses two movements of thought, repeatedly.
Induction
Induction starts from observation. The teacher notices a fact and asks why. To answer the why, they develop a tentative hypothesis as the explanation.
This is the same inductive logic that grounded theory uses on a research scale. The teacher is doing it on a small, personal scale.
A teacher who notices that students disengage in the third quarter of a lesson, and asks why, and develops the tentative hypothesis that attention has a natural cycle that needs interruption every fifteen minutes, has done induction.
Deduction
Deduction tests the hypothesis. From the hypothesis, the teacher derives a prediction: if I interrupt the lesson every fifteen minutes with a brief change of activity, engagement should hold up better. The prediction is then tested.
The deductive movement uses the hypothesis to generate testable predictions. The test produces evidence that supports or undermines the hypothesis. If the prediction holds, the hypothesis gains support. If it does not, the hypothesis needs revision.
The double movement, induction followed by deduction followed by more induction as new evidence appears, is the engine of reflexive thought. A teacher who does both movements builds personal theory that improves over time. A teacher who only does induction has hypotheses but never tests them. A teacher who only does deduction tests theories without ever generating new ones.
The reflective practitioner moves between the two movements continuously. New observations generate hypotheses. The hypotheses are tested. The tests produce new observations. The cycle continues, and the teacher’s understanding deepens.